2022-Week 16
/QUICKLINKS
AVOCADO OVERVIEW
SUPPLY UPDATE
In a nutshell the national production figures for last week were as follows:
· Week 15 - 340,043 trays harvested and consigned this week which represents a 12% decrease ( or some 44,581 less cartons) on Week 14 -2022 production – North Qld maintains the lead in production accounting for 68% of this; followed by Central Qld with 23%; then WA at 5%; 3% from Central NSW and the remaining 1% coming from South Qld.
· The average industry dispatch per week over the last four week period has been 406,370 trays.
· It is forecast that a total of 270K trays will be despatched this week nationally, lower volumes indicating that the Shepard season is nearing its end but also been impacted by reduced harvestable days due to Easter and Anzac day public holidays, The week after the forecast is for a further 200K Shepard trays to be harvested nationally.
Whilst we are not quite there yet, it is important to be looking ahead to the new Hass season, should I say TRUE Hass Avocado projections for the next few weeks, according to industry figures supplied by Avocados Australia, by week number with forecasts as follows: Week 15W/E 15/4 - 36K; Week 16 W/E 22/4 - 63K; Week 17 W/E 29/4 - 136K; Week 18 W/E 6/5- 214K; Week 19 W/E 13/5 - 258K. By these industry projections, fruit supplies from Week Ending 13th May will be starting to reach numbers that will ensure a consistent supply of Hass. Now is the time to be undertaking your hass dry matter tests - please send me a copy of the results when you have received them back to share with the supermarkets. The intended changeover date at this stage to hass in store for Coles is 5th May and for our orders with Woolies it is not until the 15th May.
All major supermarkets are selling premium Shepards’ at $1.19 to $1.20ea . Hass, new season NQ fruit, were found at Woolworths stores selling these at $1.50-$1.80 per piece and Coles for $1.20, though there is a difference in size of fruit; whilst independents were selling larger class one NQ Hass for $2.00/piece or 3 large pieces for $5 and loose Shepards at $0.99 cents each and a 4 piece prepack for $2.99 - depending upon variety/quality/size. Hass pricing remained steady with a top now of $18/tray and a range of $14 -$18/tray for premium. Shepard’s are only fetching a top of $10.00-$13.00/tray for premiums in the market; with class one Shepards’ back to $6-$9/tray and Bulks $7 to $15 depending upon grade and quality.
The weather in North Qld for our Shepard crop has seen daytime temperatures ranging 17.1 to 30.2C with light rain at the start of the week and increasing rain towards the latter part of the week with predicted falls of 50-100mm across this coming weekend. A number of our growers have finished picking their Shepard crop and are preparing for their Hass season. Rock Ridge will be be harvesting Shepard again this coming week in an effort to complete our Shepard season, though we may have a very light pick into the first full week of May in order to complete this task. We are aiming to commence our Hass harvest either late this week or early the following week.
Avocado display presentation in Qld stores this week was generally pleasing. Pricing this week varied greatly across major supermarkets - as well as a variation noted in the sizing stocked by each banner. Fruit age for Shepards age ranged 9 to 20 days; whilst new season Hass tended to be around 12-14 days old. Both Woolworths stores and Coles stores are stocking NQ Autumn varieties of Hass as well as the green skin Shepards; with half of the display devoted to each varietal in most cases. Woolworths offer the different varieties at different price points; whilst Coles are offering both varieties at the same price point.
In terms of Avocado retail pricing in Qld shelf prices were as follows: Aldi Qld had Shepard avos selling at a hot ticket price of $0.99ea; Coles Qld had both NQ Shepards and new season Autumn Hass ticketed at $1.20 ea; and Woolworths Qld had prominently positioned instore displays Shepards at $1.00-$1.40ea and new season NQ Hass ticketed at $1.50-$1.80ea, depending upon location. The fruit on shelves varied in condition with maturity ranging just yielding to firm. There was a notable increase in skin marking and bruising this week as noted in each store visited below. There was a greater proportion of Hass yielding to gentle pressure in comparison with Shepards in general.
RETAIL SNAPSHOTS OF AVOCADOS
Below: Coles Indooroopilly, Garden City and Browns Plains Displays
In all of the three stores visited, Coles stores Shepards avocados priced at $1.20ea and Autumn Hass also priced at $1.20 a piece. Fruit was well presented - all 14-19 days old and just yielding to firm with respects to maturity. Growers seen this week were mainly Greenskins, Simpsons, Howe Farming and Purpleskins.
1kg I’m Perfect packs on special this week retailing for $4.90ea. Coles 5pks selling for $3.90ea.
Below: Aldi Indooroopilly, Garden City and Browns Plains Displays
Simpson Farms and Greenskin fruit in counts 23/25 loose @ $0.99 each everywhere.
Packed on dates range 1st to 4th April, so fruit age range is 16 to 19 days.
6 piece Shepard nets at $4.49 and 1kg packs at $3.99ea.
Below: Woolworths Indooroopilly, Garden City and Browns Plains Displays
Stores had Purpleskin Hass avocados at $1.50-1.80 each and Greenskin Shepard avocados at $1.00-1.30 each. All avocados 9-14 days old - some fruit is yielding to gentle pressure.
5 piece packs at $5.00/ pack and 1kg packs at $4.50ea.
BANANA OVERVIEW
SUPPLY UPDATE
Last week we saw the total banana industry production reduce slightly to 403K cartons, which represented a decrease of 2,300 cartons on the week prior. The weather patterns are showing signs of change with slightly cooler mornings and peaks under 30C in the far North this week. Morning temperatures have been be a touch cooler across all NQ regions with early a.m. temps falling within a range of 17.1- to 22C; whilst day time temperatures have been similar to last week with a top of just 30C -within a range of 26.1 to 30C across the week. In terms of rainfall, all major North Qld growing regions receiving light to moderate falls with increasing precipitation predicted for late this week. Both Innisfail and Tully regions received 58.8mm down to 53.6mm throughout the week with falls of up to 100mm predicted from Friday. Walkamin and Mareeba had much lighter rainfall ranging 3.4mm to 5.8mm for the week. Cavendish banana bunch age is still in the vicinity of 14-15 weeks, with fruit quality generally found to be good overall in our packshed though we continue to grade out some light scarring. As we are now in the autumnal season the weather will continue to gradually cool and we will see bunch age increase over the coming weeks and months.
Independent retailers were selling bananas at $1.99 to $2.99/kg this week. The markets all have moderate supplies of cavendish relative to demand with fruit selling at $12-$22 per carton, dependent upon quality and quantity each agent has.
The presentation of Cavendish presented reasonably well, in fact if making a generalised statement across all major banners there was considerable improvement with cleaner fruit with good bloom. There was still a presence of minor dry scar; minor neck damage; as well as bronzing; bruising; small rub marks and sap staining but less significant in comparison to the the preceding four week period. Colour was generally good; though notably Aldi stores seemed to have a higher proportion of semi-colour fruit at all three stores visited this week.
Retail ticket pricing in Queensland on bananas with little variance this week in comparison to the week prior and amongst the major supermarkets with Aldi’s banana ticket price at $2.99/kg; whilst both Woolies and Coles offered fruit at $3.00-$3.50/kg depending upon location visited.
RETAIL SNAPSHOT OF BANANAS
Below: Coles Indooroopilly, Garden City and Browns Plains Displays
Cavendish was priced at $3.00-3.50/kg. Kids packs also at $2.50-3.00ea.
Quality across stores was quite good though some clusters found with minor skin marking and still a noticeable presence of heat affected fruit. Both minor and major bruising; neck injuriues, rub and general scarring also found.
Lady Fingers were priced at $7.90/kg and Red Tips at $4.90/kg.
Organic Variety present in every store also, priced at $4.90/kg.
Below: Aldi Indooroopilly, Garden City and Browns Plains Displays
Stores had Cavendish @ $2.99/kg- there was a common presence of some green fruit, light bruising/skin marking and neck damage.
Lady Fingers were priced at $5.99/kg.
Below: Woolworths Indooroopilly, Garden City and Browns Plains Displays
Woolworths had Cavendish bananas priced at $3.00/kg, Lil Sana kids banded clusters at $2.50. Displays were generally well presented and whilst again some minor neck damage.
Lady fingers were priced at $7.90/kg, Red tips were priced at $4.90/kg and Organic Clusters $4.50/kg
